Friday, April 15, 2011

Why I Don't Buy Magic Beans

I often listen to conservative talk radio in my car for a couple of reasons. First, I like to keep informed of all sides of political arguments and even though most of conservative talk radio is more akin to propaganda than information one can still get an idea of the right wing viewpoint by listening to Rush Limbaugh or Sean Hannity. The good news is that you don’t have to listen for very long in that they endlessly repeat the same talking points ad nauseum (see the definition of propaganda). Second, since I live in an area that is heavily right wing in its general political leanings there is virtually no left wing or progressive radio available without having satellite radio which I don’t happen to have in my car.

I don’t normally have much of a reaction to what I hear on these shows beyond the amusement that comes from realizing how childishly simple and devoid of actual study most of these points are in reality. It is interesting to follow the careful application of facts and editing that Limbaugh employs in trying to make his points. He really is quite masterful at avoiding telling the whole story about anything while at the same time emphasizing and carefully stacking the half truths of his narrative to build his positions. On average I would say that he rarely goes over a sentence or two without badly distorting the truth or taking a half truth and expounding it as irrefutable fact. There is an old maxim that says “a little knowledge is a dangerous thing”; in Limbaugh’s case I would expand this to “a little knowledge combined with a lot of half truths endlessly represented as the whole truth is a dangerous thing” (again, see the definition of propaganda).

As I was listening today I heard Limbaugh launch into his normal ridicule of Democratic positions by one of his favorite tactics of sarcasm combined with satire. The specific issue he was talking around today was the upcoming budget battles and the attempt by Republican’s to cut further into discretionary spending and Medicare programs. What is interesting is that both parties agree that rising health care concerns are an issue that is to a large extent driving much of our national debt problems. Unfortunately, this is about the only thing that both parties agree upon when it comes to health care. Typical of Limbaugh and his tactics he was not discussing the issue today or offering solutions to the problem but rather ridiculing the idea that Obama put forward in his speech yesterday that he was not willing to stand by and let the Republican party do away with Medicare programs that are the only means many Americans have of receiving the health care they need to survive. Limbaugh launched into an insulted tirade describing how Democrats are trying to paint the Republican party as the party that would have these people put out in the street without healthcare.

This is typical of the way Limbaugh operates, avoiding the substance of the issue by concentrating on the satirical implication that Democrats are only interested in demonizing Republicans. He went on to describe how offensive and silly it is to suggest that Republicans don’t care about people, that they are somehow immune to feeling of empathy for the needy. I doubt there are very many people who believe that Republicans want people to suffer or that they desire to somehow punish the poor and needy by denying them health care. The point that Limbaugh purposefully avoids and goes to great lengths to disguise is that this WILL be the result of doing away with Medicare programs and privatizing them with a public voucher system that everyone recognizes will lock people into set benefits at a time when actual health care costs are skyrocketing. Intentions count less than results when it comes to basic necessities of life. The fact that no one intends for people to suffer does not change that fact that people do in fact suffer and die when they can’t get the basic health care they need to survive. While it might be worthwhile in Limbaugh’s opinion to point out this was not the intention of such measures this is actually of no consolation to the people who will be suffering and dying as an inevitable result of the measures themselves. It is neither wrong nor imprudent to point out inevitable results of cutting such programs; it is in fact criminally irresponsible to avoid doing so.

There are two possible ways to interpret this behavior. The first and most obvious possibility is that Limbaugh simply doesn’t know what he is talking about. While it is easy to dismiss this out of hand there is perhaps a grain of truth to it. I would submit that it is hard to understand the concerns of those of us whose families are often at the mercy of such systems when you are as far removed from the cold hard realities of having to make hard choices as Limbaugh currently happens to be. Limbaugh makes some 28 million dollars a year in direct income without including endorsement contracts. This amounts to some 116 thousand dollars a day which probably does make it hard for him to have any understanding of the world that most of listeners deal with every day. It stretches the imagination to believe that someone who makes that much money could have any understanding of what it is like to do without basic needs. I would suggest that it has probably been quite some time since Limbaugh was even directly personally exposed to anyone who is struggling in today’s economy. While this also explains his undying and ridiculously nonsensical ideas about taxation and Reaganomics which preaches that lowering taxes is the best way to stimulate the economy, it doesn’t say much for his ability to be objective when he twists fact and figures so relentlessly to prove such a theory makes any sense economically while pocketing the results of the tax cuts so directly.

The second possibility is that Limbaugh actually is what he appears to be, a willing shill for corporate America who has as little use for truth and factual information as his hero Ronald Reagan. Reagan, who made a living many years being a direct employee of corporate interests as a spokesman in their campaigns to increase profit margins at any cost later graduated to a position in government where he could be even more effective in this pursuit; the President of the United States. It is impossible to know which possibility is correct or even if it is the combination of the two is what drives Limbaugh in his daily rants but it is easy to know the practical results of his choices; a show unmatched in its propaganda value if you are a wealthy American or a large corporation in its ability to influence voter opinions of the very people that such interests routinely abuse to build their wealth and power.

It is hard to imagine a better methodology for enriching the wealthiest amongst us than the talking heads of conservative radio. If I were to suggest a scenario that involved the wealthiest Americans gaining control of the levers of power with the full aid and support at the ballot box of the working class they are pilfering their profits from you would suggest that such a scenario is at best unlikely. However, both Limbaugh and Hannity, who manage to portray themselves as protectors of the common man while collecting millions of dollars each year from the wealthiest corporate interests in this country, are in fact two of the most effective agents for making sure this is exactly what happens. Hannity makes some 22 million dollars a year in salary before endorsements in case you are wondering. Not surprisingly, he is just as adamant that any increase in taxes on the wealthiest Americans would be a disaster of the first order. One basic mantra that all conservative commentators constantly repeat is the idea that tax cuts lead to net increases in revenue.

Budgets as large as our national budget can be extraordinarily complicated instruments but the basic laws of addition and subtraction are not magically suspended when it comes to evaluating them. National budgets, just like personal budgets, are a balance between money coming in (revenue) and money going out (expenditure). While it is possible to increase relative revenue if you cut expenditures enough the net gain is simply a one to one ratio, every dollar saved equals a dollar available to pay against the debt. Common sense tells us that to decrease the deficit we must have a combination of reduced expenditure and increased revenue. Not surprisingly, history does as well. Contrary to the cherished magical myth that conservatives love to repeat about cutting taxes while simultaneously increasing government revenue it simply does not occur and we have proved that on four separate occasions since 1980. Reagan’s first tax cuts drastically reduced government revenue to the point that three later tax increases were necessary to keep us from breaking the government then. The difference is that the later tax cuts worked to shift the largest proportion of the burden from the rich to the middle class. Even with the later tax increases, the deficit doubled during Reagan’s tenure.

When Bush senior came into office with his “read my lips, no new taxes” pledge he soon found that it was necessary to renege on this promise because we were still sliding into a deeper deficit and the only way to begin to pull us out of it was to increase revenue by raising taxes. While this may or may not have cost him the next election, it did manage to begin to increase revenue. With Clinton, we got more of the same in the way of increased taxes along with expenditure cuts that were well on the way to balancing the budget. With Bush junior we got another round of tax cuts that led directly to higher deficits. It is hard to stress this fact enough; tax cuts do not increase revenue. It really is voodoo economics to suggest that it does and recent history has pointed this out repeatedly no matter what conservative commentators say to the contrary. As anyone who has passed third grade math knows you cannot get larger numbers by subtracting no matter how many times you do it.

Beyond the simple mathematics of why this doesn’t work there is also the basics of how capitalism works to explain this more clearly. Capitalism is largely based upon the idea that accumulations of wealth can be used for investment which will spur more economic growth. It is a repeating cycle of continuous growth based upon the idea that one must first have accumulations of capital before there can be investment. If our country was in a situation where there was not enough capital to spur growth temporary tax cuts as a stimulus might be a viable option but we would still have to realize that any tax cut must be offset by expenditure cuts to keep from bloating the deficit. However, everyone agrees that there is a huge surplus of capital in this country right now; although much of it has been hoarded into offshore tax havens so that its owners can avoid paying taxes on it. In other words, cutting taxes on the wealthiest is not only unnecessary , it is actually counterproductive to inducing investment because it has been proven to further reduce the likelihood of investment for the simple reason that there is no inducement to reinvest this capital. This is largely the reason why there was such huge investment in the unregulated financial markets that crashed the economy in the first place. Every time there is a tax cut on the wealthiest Americans along with deregulation of the financial industry there is a corresponding increase in unfeasible financial markets that inevitably crash. Radical tax cuts to the top level of income earners in the twenties (70%-24%) immediately preceeded the rampant speculation that fostered the Great Depression. After the initial Reagan tax cuts we had the Savings and Loan crash. After the Bush tax cuts we had the recent financial crash of the whole US banking system that we are still trying to claw our way out from under. Nothing stimulates the ingenuity of the confidence men amongst us as much as large piles of cash reserves that become available with such tax cuts. In case anyone hasn’t noticed, we as the taxpayers bailed out the wealthiest Americans in each case so we not only don’t get to participate in the party; we have to pay the bill after the party is over.

What is actually needed is not further reductions in capital gains taxes and the income taxes of the wealthiest Americans, but the increase of such taxes to induce them to reinvest the money in industries that produce jobs in this country instead of encouraging further tax havens for shifting jobs overseas. Tax incentives could easily be written to encourage investment in industries that create jobs by tying tax rates directly to the number of jobs created while increasing tax rates on financial markets that do not. In other words, we have plenty of capital for investment. Tax cuts to increase the capital available for investment aren’t what we need. Tax increases with incentives designed to induce investment from existing capital in industries that produce jobs are what we need.

Limbaugh, Hannity, and their ilk would be comical if they weren’t doing so much damage to our political structure by deliberately spreading corporate propaganda. Shills have been a component of the business world since the first halting steps of capitalism but they have rarely been as effective as this new crop of them happens to be. While Reagan himself is their patron saint, they are all cut from the same cloth. It is up to the American public to recognize they are being fleeced by the people who proclaim to protect their interests but I find it especially ludicrous that two men who make 48 million dollars a year between them are widely seen as the protectors of the working class public by a large portion of the voting populace. They remind me of the peddler of the magic beans in the fable Jack and the Beanstalk with the exception that they are peddling “magic tax cuts” instead of “magic beans”. Unfortunately, there is no such thing as “magic tax cuts” that will grow us out of the deficit situation we are in. There are only real numbers and the reality that it takes addition to make larger numbers and tax increases to create more revenue.

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